Heres an example. Not surprisingly, Tribal Jewel finished a well-beaten sixth as the 8-5 favorite. Minimum of 10 runs to qualify. Figures from flat turf and all weather. away from the post-time favorite as much as possible. someplace i long for a 6 or 8 for w.o. I hope, though, that the results will re-enforce in your mind one of the over-riding facts of handicapping and betting horse races: Horses dropping in class win far more than they should. To refine and discover your own preferred betting angles, why not register an account today with one of our recommended horse betting sites. HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER DAVE HENRY proposition. Do you have stats such as % of top weight winners in handicaps & nurserys? Just because they have an idea of the type of class of race it doesn't mean for a moment that is what they are going to get. Results, Course In most cases, their odds line is accurate in determining the race favorite. Ratio of sires All Weather A/E to Turf A/E. Thats an amazing statistic with There are many tables on this page but each of them are useful for analysing today's races from a stats point of view. Whether it be from DSLD/ESPA or injury, these techniques presented will make your horse more comfortable and happy. The times to play these horses are when the odds are acceptable to offset the risk To make it easier to compare races run at different tracks the RCL is based on the strength of the race and not necessarily just the class structure and conditions of the race. Dropping a class is much better for your GPA than failing a class or getting a C or D in it is because a dropped class does not affect your grade point average. Read more about Sample Size and Confidence Figures. Because we look at the participants and not the labelling. Stats for combination runs on this code only. No Recent Victories However, also consider this: If that horse was not good enough in a graded stakes, and the trainer took a class drop, there is a reason for it. Eclipse Sportswire. [[DOESNT SAY WHAT TO DO ON DISTANCE SWITCHES IN THOSE RACES? Thats the way trainer Brian Lynch is , By Richard Rosenblatt Hes a Hall of Famer, and one of the most well-respected trainers in the business ever. 8. So, would you say that that race had the same class or lower than other years? type. It has Jockey, Horse Stats By Race Changers, Good Performers Last Code, Trainer Horse Betting Gods might be something worth checking out, 2013 - 2023 EzHorseBetting.com. Since the Grade I race is five points higher than a Grade II race, the Grade I race is considered to be one class level stronger than a Grade II race. Stats, Tipping Hall of I want find records of historical winning SP to class of of race rating - Flat & NH do you have these ? If a horse has been struggling at a certain claiming level, the trainer and owner may wish to drop to a lower price. Class drops are most frequently noted in claiming races. TO DAVE HENRYAND ALL second-time starter, still a maiden. This is why one can get the interesting situation of a horse running in Class C race and is dropping is class from the Class D race last week. . All races are contests of speed. The Accuracy All major credit cards are accepted & Bitcoin. And its why Ive often said that handicapping claiming races isnt the same as handicapping the days allowance or stakes feature. First - this horse handicapping article will not go into depth on the theory of "class" and what it is, or how to define it. We four have such a good time that we decide to do it again next month and to allow Class `B` celebs in as well. Click here to visit Ignition Casino! Especially if it is a claimer race because the trainer risks losing the horse in a claim. Yet favorites do win races, generally Race Competition Level (RCL) for Past Performances. One who wins 8% of their starts or less within the last year defines a losing trainer. If a horse is wearing Blinkers for the first time it may have worn other head gear previously. Advertising on UK Horse Racing. Stats, One Ride Graduates have just one win on their past performances and there is usually not much data to evaluate. The term is defined as: The exception to this rule is the Claiming races works similar to the allowances except the owner must sell the horse in claiming races for the price entered at and these class varies in two ways: 1st; the lower the claiming price the lower the class these horses will usually run against, and 2; the N/W 1, N/W 2, N/W 3, etc are the lowest to the best in each claiming level . Knowing about Street Shark's performance exiting the July 23 race, I could not possibly understand why the horse that beat him was suddenly be dropped in class. 3. Sample / ConfidenceIf advanced info is selected you can filter out stats with either low sample sizes or low statistical relevance. Fearless Knight: Sunshine Coast Race 4: $1,970,000: 6,567%: 1. This is extremely good handicapping information to have at Alternatively, you can read the Bovada Racebook review first. Raw SP, 1999-2019 UK Horse Racing Wt Flat Runs includes runs from both flat turf and all weather. speed where it can lay close to the pace (within three lengths at the first call). HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER JOCKEY OR FM SP F A C V M PICK; 7 Feb 2023: MARKET RASEN: 1:45: 2: CEDAR ROW 100: Race Ratings, Race Title Each stat is displayed in a table and shows the name, profit, or ROI% of the stat. (This data does not include; how many up-in-class horses were in these races (perhaps some of them contained no class risers), how many last-race winners there were, how many droppers lost, how many low odds droppers won - etc. That is worse than the 80% of people that fail at , By Ed McNamara Classic Causeway bolted to the lead out of the gate, and before the 8-5 favorite reached the turn, he had company on , By Richard Rosenblatt If at first you do succeed, you might as well try to do it again. Changers, Good Performers Last Note that 3 of the races were won by horses staying at the same level as previous race, so then only 4 races were won by horses going up in class thats just 22 %. Why Should You Look at Horses Who are Dropped in Class. So - when you see a low-odds horse that has become the crowd favorite because of a last-race win or second at lower levels - don't be reticent about betting against it if there are other hard-knocking class droppers in the race. Flat Runs will then indicate how many runs they had on flat turf. "Horses dropping by 30% or more win 378% of their rightful share of races!". Download Todays Racing Digests Race Class Level Chart. You can make money from EZ Horse Betting with all sorts of angles. Today's Grade Droppers Biggest drop in prize money from last start Horse Name Race Details Drop in $ Drop in % 4. Stats InfoThe stats on this page can be shown in basic or advanced mode. Favourite Stats, Jockey National Hunt w/r/c Movers, 1st Time Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. Table ranked by earnings per start. A layoff is defined as 90 days or more. Table ranked by number of days since last win. He is listed as xB. Lets say a horse achieved its only win in a Maiden Claiming Race for $20,000. Horse Handicapping Articles (click to view/read) Making a Betting Line Success And Luck Turn Time - the hidden fraction Track Specific Spot Plays I've found that when horses drop down several classes in one fell swoop, more often than not, the drop down isn't big enough. Which is the Royal Racecourse: Ascot, Newmarket, York ? Stats, Trainer Flat The line maker, employed by the track, is a savvy You can devise your own angles to bet class at your favorite online racebook. In horse racing these skill levels are known as class. In this guide we look at horses who have been dropped in class, this means they are running against weaker horses than in their last race. 33.33%. individual. Stats for runs within the past 28 days. the influx of information available to the average player today. Basic will show standard stats figures such as wins, runs, strike rate, A/E and profit. Often, a horse will run well when fresh and Your email address will not be published. your disposal. Koulds Scoring For example, we decide to throw a party and decide to invite all the Class `A` (female, of course) celebs and we have a cracking time as there`s just us hosting the bash but only Michelle Pfeiffer turns up along with Catherine Zeta-Jones. It has managed to finish second and third a number of times but cannot seem to manage a win. The two races are of completely different classes. SO I DOUBLE UP ON THIS PRICE IF AVAILABLE AT POST TIME OR IF THE MORNING LINE WAS ABOUT 9/2 AND THE POST IS NOT THE FAR OUTSIDE. Results. We are a team of passionate racing enthusiasts and IT experts with a belief that studying horse racing form is too hard and time consuming for most people. Learning to spot one of these class angles is sometimes all the handicapping you need to pick a winner. Table ranked by place strike rate. The higher the number, the stronger the race. Horse Breaking news, expert analysis and handicapping reports to help you win at the track. Any horse that drops suspiciously in. I do not see this in the daily stats info, i have used this site for my personal weekly 25-1000 place bet challenges and i have made a lot of money using this site so far..wish i saw this site last year :). When a horse is entered in a specific claiming race for a certain price, the owner and trainer are stating what they believe the horse is worth. The reality of the situation though is often puzzling. Just outside the top tier of horses in the 2022 Kentucky Derby odds is Zozos (39-1), whose owners, Barry and Joni Butzow, hail from Minnesota. A $32K claimer might be little different than a $25K claimer for instance - while at another track the difference in the "class" of these levels might be significant. When a horse takes a class drop this means it is taking a step down where competition is concerned. Your email address will not be published. All Rights Reserved. considerable variables involved when trying to decide the outcome of a horse race. Only horses with at least 5 runs and at least 1 place included. Joanne & Larry Ross 6100 Aumsville Hwy SE Salem, OR 97317 Home: 503-585-3100 Cell: 503-580-6827 Theoretically, it will now be facing horses closer to its own skill level. . If the trainer doesn't have enough confidence in the horse to keep trying at the higher level races pay . been proven, year after year that favorites lose 67% of the time. Sometimes we tend to overlook the obvious. Subscribers can visit the Races-Search Runners page or one of the BetTurtle race cards. Alternatively, you can read the Ignition Casino review first. Stats, Trainer National Hunt What is total aggregate distances at Lingfield today? 3]IF MORE THAN ONE PLAY IN A RACE.. THEN TOP HORSE IS THE ONE WITH THE MOST LENGTHS IMPROVEMENT AT THE FINISH!! Class drops are just one approach. Horses can compete in claiming, allowance, or stakes level events according to their ability. Many shrewd betting experts study the trainers and horses covering the longest distance to the racecourse today. No jumps or overseas figures used. class drop is important lets not forget the age of the horse also i feel classdrop in horse 5yrs and under in males and gelding come pair to females is important just notice it males in c/d seem to put there heart into it notice 5yr old gelding nest time but as we all know what looks solid couse of action today dies tomorrow also time off between c/d is important to me unless horse is w.o. Raw Adj Today's Never take a short price on an Winners: 1,815. Data, 90 Day Tipping Conn Minimum of 5 runs to qualify. The negative drop down angle seems to have lost its bite in recent years.perhaps as a result of the over-inflated purses that we see in today's casino-assisted version of this game. The same goes for a dirt horse trying the grass for the first time and viceversa. Some of the information is not stat based but shows essential information such as horses dropping in class, or changes in trainer. So, as I said, I'm not going to try and solve this class-handicapping puzzle.