Could Arizona be in for another dry winter, leading to even worse drought conditions? RELATED: La Nina is here and it's not good news for Arizona's drought, The Official NOAA Winter Outlook for 2022-2023 has been released and as of right now the odds are slightly tilted towards below normal precipitation and above normal temperatures for the desert southwest. Meanwhile, the southern U.S. is expected to have a. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 2.82" which is just over eight-tenths of an inch above normal and ranks as the 34th wettest August on record. For an oddity record, the eight days with a high of 99 is the most on record for the month of August & any calendar month dating back to 1895. Two were for record highs and three were for record warm low temperatures and all of them occurred in December. Rainfall totals across the metro area ranged from 4" to 10" with localized higher amounts up to 15". It will definitely seem like it in January though, but we still have February, March, and April left, that of which can easily add more storms into the forecast. That contrasts sharply with a likely warmer-than-usual February along the northern Gulf Coast, including Florida. Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. The average wind speed was 8.1 mph which is slightly below the average was 8.2 mph. In central Arizona, its mild and fair, and sometimes rainy. August 29, 2022 NOAA's 2022-2023 Winter Forecast The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration ( NOAA) makes long-range forecasts each month. We say absolutely! The Weather Companys primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment and the importance of science to our lives. 830 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023. READ MORE Monday, March 28, 2022 Flagstaff Weather -- March 28, 2022 Spring ended on a streak of 63 consecutive days with no rain being recorded at the International airport. Nearly 10,000 power outages were reported in Arizona Wednesday as a winter storm passed through the state, one of many places in the U.S. dealing with winter Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.48" is 1.20" BELOWnormal and ranks as the 17th driest January/February period on record. Every year, the Farmers Almanac, which has been printed since 1818, attempts to answer that question with weather predictions based on generations of perception, experience, and common sense, according to its website. The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be up below normal and a 33% chance that they will end up above normal. Arizona Weather in Tucson Weather in Tucson in December 2022 Tucson Weather Forecast for December 2022 is based on statistical data. There were only seven days that recorded triple digit highs, which is eight days below the normal of 15 days for August. The Farmers' Almanac predicts winter will be wild in much of the United States, but pretty average in Utah. The average yearly temperature, through the end of June, of 68.5 is 1.3 above normal and ranks as the 7th warmest on record. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a half an inch (0.50") with a localized spots, especially in the foothills, recording up to nine-tenths of an inch (0.90"). While its critics say its weather predictions are essentially a flip of the coin, Geiger said in general he has been told the forecasts are about 80% accurate and are especially on target when it comes to winter forecasts. In northern Arizona, its snowy and chilly, though usually still quite dry. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged from 0.75" to 2.50". Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.67" is 1.57" BELOWnormal & ranks as the 14th driest January through March period on record. Expect snowy days, but not as many as we usually see (which isn't great for this whole drought situation we're in). Elizabeth Hoy, a senior scientist at NASA,. The airport two-day total of 0.74" ranks as the 3rd wettest New Year's Eve/Day on record. The second Pacific storm of the month moved across the area on the 12th bringing with it widespread valley rain and mountain snow. Antarctic Winter of 2022 - Coldest on Record. 47.9 Degrees C is 118.2 degrees F. Wow! Please Contact Us. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, has varied widely across the metro area. April climate data across southeast Arizona. HOT TOPIC: 2021-2022 Seasonal Weather Forecast Released For Southwestern United States; Detailed Maps and Discussion Within, November 29, 2021 The video covers both precipitation and temperature predictions, polar vortex, arctic blasts, typical snowfall, and regions that will see wamr and dry conditions for winter 2022 - 2023. Dallas Area Storms Cause Power Transformer To Explode, Cold Or Flu? hit 113.9 degrees F, 45.5 degrees C. Amazing. For the most part, it looks like fairly, you know, pleasant, quiet kind of weather in September and a good part of October, Geiger said. This ranks as the 11th driest Spring on record. The average yearly temperature of 56.8 is six-tenths of a degree BELOW normal and ranks as the 27th warmest on record through the end of March. Evening Weather Forecast - 2/26/23. Generally, cool areas of the country are expected to see significant snowfalls before the start of December, although the almanac predicts Thanksgiving could have good weather in most areas of the U.S. Christmas, on the other hand, could be unsettled with either rain or snow depending on your local temperatures, the almanac says. Here are some of the monthly temperature highlights during 2022: A total of sixteen daily record temperatures were set or tied during 2022. There were five days that recorded freezing low temperatures at the airport which is up from the three that occurred in the previous winter but down five from the 1991-2020 normal period. The first eight days of the month were on the quiet side before turning active between the 9th and 13th thanks to deeper tropical moisture moving across the area from Hurricance Kay, which moved northwest off the Baja Coast. There are indications that weak cutoff systems under the raging jet could bring more precipitation to Tucson than say even Phoenix, but the amount just doesnt look so high, but bears watching for that area sometime mid-month. It's the 13th April with ZERO rainfall. The La Nia weather phenomenon is expected to extend through winter for the third year in a row, bringing below-average rain and snow and above-average temperatures. Dry with above normal high temperatures from the 5th to the 11th with highs in the mid-60's to the lower 70's. Rainfall occurred across the metro area over three time periods during the month. According to the Farmers Almanac winter weather forecast for Arizona, the 2022-2023 winter season will be a milder affair this year though drier than average, too. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 43% chance that they will end up above normal and a 24% chance that they will end up below normal. The water year is well below normal since October 1st at 2.26" which ranks as the 9th driest water year to date with three months left in the water year calendar. La Nia - the periodic cooling of the equatorial Pacific Ocean waters - is in play as one of the primary drivers for the winter outlook once again this year. January climate data across southeast Arizona. As usual, the polar vortex is another important wild card in the outlook. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high 94 on the 3rd to a low of 43 on the 25th. Temperatures: Below Average, Arizona Includes Daily Risk of Precipitation, High/Low/Average Temperatures, Heating/Cooling Degree Days and Growing Degree Days, Transition Day Start or End of a Risky Period. This is the first time since March 1973 that every daily high temperature of a month was cooler than what occurred one year earlier. La Nia refers to cooler-than-normal sea surface temperatures in the central and east-central Pacific Ocean, near the equator. December 2021 Weather Pattern Forecast Outlook For Southern California; December Arctic Blasts and Storms, FACEBOOK PAGES TO JOIN! So what's in store? Support local journalism. In a couple of words: its nice! WARNING: Long-range forecasts are rarely accurate. Get more stories delivered right to your email. The previous highest amount for October was 7 days in 1983, 2000 & 2015. A high minimum temperature of 75 on the 27th set a new daily record, eclipsing the old record of 73 from 1963 & 1989. Winter, 2022. Learn everything you need to know about the Grand Canyon State's ever-changing forecasts here. The stream has the latest alert links, a map of alerts and where, and articles. However, if it does rain/snow during the month, expect most of it to occur on higher risk days. NWS Climate Prediction Center College Park MD. Combined with last years August total of 3.85", this is the first back-to-back Augusts since 2005-06 to be above normal. By Paul Rusnak | September 11, 2022. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 44% chance that they will end up above normal and a 23% chance that they will end up below normal. The average yearly temperature, through the end of May, of 64.4 is 0.9 above normal and ranks as the 10th warmest on record, tied with 2000. 3. No blocking means that we will continue to get the colder air out of the west in both regions of Southern California and Arizona, but it also means much drier conditions. But if it weakens, that could spell a colder winter for some. Click on the image to the right to see how 2022 compared to the historical record. As if unprecedented flash flooding during this years monsoon season wasnt enough to deal with, it looks like Arizona might get a little reprieve from extreme weather in the winter. Detailed Weather Forecast for February 8 in Az Zubayr, Mufazat al Barah, Iraq - temperature, wind, atmospheric pressure, humidity and precipitations - World-Weather.info . The monthly average temperature of 84.7 is just under 2 above normal and ranks as the 4th warmest September on record, tied with 2010. Last winter, Boston finished the season with. Keep in mind this outlook is an overall three-month trend. February climate data and outlook across southeast Arizona. The zero rainfall recorded at the International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, marked the 30th time since 1895 that no measurable rain was recorded at the official site. The combined two-day rainfall totals for New Year's Eve/Day across the metro area ranged from 0.50" to 1.50" with the bulk of the rain occurring on New Year's Eve. Over the last 14 days there was only one day that was above normal. The impacts from the cold plunge resulted in a multi-billion disaster, with Texas especially hard-hit. If you're planning to visit Arizona in the near . Not all risky days will have rain/snow. Kristin Murphy, Deseret News Flannel, hot chocolate and snowshoes are in the winter forecast from the Farmers' Almanac, which is predicting a shivery 2022-2023 winter for most of the United States. There were six days of triple digit high temperatures which is slightly above normal. Here are some of the monthly rainfall highlights during 2022: Rainfall totals across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged from 6"-13" across the metro area with significantly higher totals in the surrounding mountains. But there's a potential curveball with La Nia this winter. The atmosphere's response, which ultimately matters for our weather patterns, may resemble a winter without a La Nia. Ninety-nine percent of the state is experiencing some level of drought with more than half of the state experiencing an Exceptional drought, which is the worst level. Or rather when will it finally feel like fall? Desert biome, Organ Pipe Cactus National Monument. The last seven days of the month was dry with below normal high and low temperatures. One month remains in climatological Winter and so far it has been warmer (55.7 or +2.3) and slightly drier (1.62" or -0.18") than normal. BOOKMARK THE MAIN WEBSITE BY CLICKING HERE. Saturday marks the peak of the warming trend and temperatures will slowly decline throughout the next week. Fall was dry with above normal rainfall returning to the area during December. Winter 2021-2022 One month remains in climatological Winter and so far it has been warmer (55.7 or +2.3) and slightly drier (1.62" or -0.18") than normal. Fetch the Scottsdale, Arizona daily observations from AerisWeather. Winter in Arizona is always a mixed bag. Therefore, we will likely see periods that are warmer or colder in each respective region of the country when compared to what is shown above. A Strong 2024 La Nina and a new "Cold Pacific Ocean Phase" will usher in Dangerous . Three temperature records (one high & two warm lows) were set or tied. All NOAA. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded only 0.81" which is around a half an inch below normal and ranks as the 53rd driest September on record, tied with 1949. This is tied with 2008 for the lowest Spring average dating back to 1946. Additionally this is the fifteenth April in the past seventeen that the airport recorded below normal rainfall. My model is showing drier than normal conditions for most of California, majorly drier than normal for Southern California than Northern. He also said that in its more than 200 years of printing, only seven people have done the weather, with each working for about 30 or 40 years andthey have applied that sameformula. This has also occurred in August 1963 & February 1905. Drought, wildfires, heat and monsoon storms: Arizona has seen its fair share of severe weather. Yuck. US Dept of Commerce MAIN WEBSITE: Dont forget. Rainfall amounts were mostly between 0.25" and 0.75". Reach breaking news reporter Sam Burdette at sburdette@gannett.com or on Twitter @SuperSafetySam. account_box Log in person_add Join settings Settings Sensor Network Maps & Radar Severe Weather News & Blogs Mobile Apps Historical Weather star 36.91 N, 111.46 W The monthly average temperature of 71.4 is 1.2 BELOW normal and ranks as the 40th warmestOctober on record. Snowfall will be below normal in most areas that normally receive snow, with the snowiest periods in early to mid-January and early February. One daily temperature record was set. The first five months were rather dry with the airport only recording 0.67" or 2" below normal. The yearly total to date currently stands as the 7th driest year with one month left in 2022. Geiger said the almanac predicts snow this winter in northern Arizona between Nov. 20 and 23, and snow in higher elevation areas would continue into early December. Winter- It's Coming! Thus expect the consecutive year streak of above normal temperatures to be extended to 25 years. The monthly average temperature of 71.8 is just under four degrees above normal and ranks as the 4th warmest April on record. To troubleshoot, here is the link to get situated. NWS La Nia conditions can have varying effects on weather patterns around the world. With stories from American West, Western Washington State, King County (Wash.), Seattle, Pacific Northwest, Eastern Washington State, Sports, Washington State University, College Sports. 3rd Coldest January- February on Record in 2021. It is certainly a possibility with the threat of another La Nia on the horizon. These were the first record temperatures set/tied in 2022. Weather; Archive; Weather Widget F. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely across the metro area from 0.50" to 3" with localized totals up to 3.75". Mostly cloudy. An statistical oddity occurred in 2022 in that not one daily rainfall record was set at the official recording site. The monthly average temperature of 54.3 is seven-tenths of a degree above normal and ranks as the 17th warmest January on record. Sorry, the location you searched for was not found. March 2023; April 2023; May 2023; June 2023; July 2023; August 2023 . The 2021-22 water year ended up on the dry side with 6.97" being reported at the airport. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area which is always the case during the summer thunderstorm season. Crawford's expectation for a stronger polar vortex this coming winter implies colder air will overall be bottled up in more northern latitudes. October climate data across southeast Arizona. National Weather Service The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 57% chance that they will end up above normal and a 10% chance that they will end up below normal. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM. The temperatures in Arizona in February are comfortable with low of 11 C and and high up to 21 C.. Check out the full 2022-23 Extended Winter Weather Forecast from The Farmer's Almanac below.